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As Afghanistan Faces a Critical Year, President Karzai Plays a “Risky Game”
Written by Samea Shanori On 5 January 2014 @ 3:08 am | 2 Comments
In Afghanistan, Central Asia & Caucasus, Citizen Media, English, International Relations, Politics, War & Conflict
As United States combat forces prepare to pull out of Afghanistan by the end of this year, the country's president Hamid Karzai is dragging his feet on the Bilateral Security Agreement  (BSA). The document provides a legal framework for a limited presence of American troops in Afghanistan after 2014, mainly to train the country's security forces.
The BSA was negotiated in 2012. In an apparent attempt to share the responsibility for signing the agreement with tribal elders, Hamid Karzai convened  a loya jirga, or the grand assembly, in November 2013, to weigh in on his decision to strike the deal with the US. The tribal elders supported  the security pact and urged Karzai to sign the document promptly. The Afghan president, however, has chosen to ignore loya jirga's recommendation, telling  the elders that he would not sign the BSA until after the presidential elections due in April 2014.
Interestingly, the chair of loya jirga has called  the four-day gathering of the assembly “unnecessary,” saying  that Karzai should have signed the security pact without the tribal elders’ approval.
Concerned over the controversies within the Afghan government, Samira Hamidi tweeted:
— Samira Hamidi (@HuriaSamira) October 21, 2013 
Karzai's decision to postpone the inking of the agreement has been interpreted  as a “risky game of brinkmanship” ahead of the elections. The “game” has created an atmosphere of uncertainly among Afghan netizens.
Twitter user Watan Dar offers an explanation for Karzai's unwillingness to sign the pact:
— watan dar (@Wataandarr) December 10, 2013 
A recent survey suggests  that the majority of Afghans support the new security pact with US. Many prominent Afghan politicians are also in favor of the deal. Mahmoud Saikal, the country's former deputy foreign minister stated  that Afghanistan needs the BSA. Amrullah Saleh, a former national security chief, tweeted:
The BSA should result in total collapse of Quetta Shura and end of Pak based Talib sanctuaries. The central pillar of our righteous demand.
— Amrullah Saleh (@AmrullahSaleh1) November 29, 2013 
Karzai's reluctance to ink the security agreement has found support from the Taliban leaders. Reacting to loya jirga's approval of the BSA, a senior Taliban leader pledged  that the group would continue fighting as long as the foreign “infidel” troops remain in Afghanistan. He also stated that the Taliban did not have any hope left for peace with the current regime.
Other opposition parties in the country have a more favorable view of the new security agreement. The Cooperation Council of Political Parties and Coalitions of Afghanistan (CCPPCA) proposed  to sign the BSA immediately, noting that the delay might compromise the fragile security and jeopardize the 2014 elections.
After refusing to finalize the BSA by the end of 2013, Karzai spent his energy during the last weeks of the year visiting Iran, Pakistan, and India. Interestingly, Iran urged  Karzai not to strike the deal with US, warning  that a continued presence of American troops was a threat to the region.
Concerned about the possible consequences of Karzai's “games”, Afghan netizens tweeted:
— Farzad Lami (@FarzadLameh) December 8, 2013 
Susan Rice says, fulfilling Karzai's long list of demands need a magic wand, which we don't have one. #BSA 
— Ahmad Mukhtar (@AhMukhtar) November 26, 2013 
Some netizens, however, believe that the new security agreement with the US is not actually such a big deal:
— Shuja Rabbani (@ShujaRabbani) December 10, 2013 
“Playing with fire”
In a bid to convince Karzai to finalize the security agreement, Iraq's Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari visited  Kabul in December 2013. Zebari claimed that the security pact was in Afghanistan's best interests, pointing to a deterioration in security  in Iraq after its refusal to ink a security agreement with the US.
— Daud Junbish (@DaudJunbish) December 2, 2013 
Pentagon chief Chuck Hagel  and US National Security Advisor Susan Rise  have warned Karzai that his unwillingness to sign the BSA might lead to a complete withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan by the end of 2014. In addition, James Dobbins (US special envoy for Afghanistan and Pakistan) warned  Afghanistan of civil war if the agreement was not signed.
Arif Rafiq tweeted:
Karzai claims Dobbins threatened to drive Afg into “civil war.” Now Dobbins says US told K he's “playing with fire.” https://t.co/DZwOhrmWbl 
— Arif Rafiq (@ArifCRafiq) December 10, 2013 
2014 is a critical year for Afghanistan as the US and NATO troops are leaving the country, handing over the responsibility for maintaining security to the fledgling national security forces. Hamid Karzai who has served as Afghanistan's president during the past twelve years will be replaced in elections due in less than four months. While he refuses to finalize the security pact with the US, other presidential hopefuls have remained silent on the issue. Therefore, what is awaiting Afghanistan and its people in the near future remains a mystery.
Article printed from Global Voices: http://globalvoicesonline.org
URL to article: http://globalvoicesonline.org/2014/01/05/as-afghanistan-faces-a-critical-year-president-karzai-plays-a-risky-game/
URLs in this post:
 Bilateral Security Agreement: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S.%E2%80%93Afghanistan_Strategic_Partnership_Agreement
 convened: http://world.time.com/2013/11/20/afghanistans-big-tent-politics-time-explains-the-loya-jirga/
 supported: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/25/world/asia/afghan-council-approves-us-security-pact.html?_r=0
 telling: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/world/july-dec13/afghan_11-21.html
 called: http://www.tolonews.com/en/afghanistan/12309-loya-jirga-leaders-appointed-set-for-mid-november
 saying: http://www.khaama.com/mojaddedi-wants-security-deal-to-be-signed-before-elections-3106
 #BSA: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23BSA&src=hash
 http://t.co/UGVDQVKq0k: http://t.co/UGVDQVKq0k
 October 21, 2013: https://twitter.com/HuriaSamira/statuses/392157924383936513
 Image: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hamid_Karzai_at_the_US_Congress_on_Capitol_Hill.jpg
 @WhiteHouse: https://twitter.com/WhiteHouse
 @ForChuckHagel: https://twitter.com/ForChuckHagel
 #Karzai: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Karzai&src=hash
 #US: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23US&src=hash
 December 10, 2013: https://twitter.com/Wataandarr/statuses/410523048828088320
 suggests: http://www.tolonews.com/en/afghanistan/13223-new-survey-shows-public-stance-on-bsa-iec
 stated: http://www.tolonews.com/en/people’s-voice/13205-peoples-voice-kabul-province
 November 29, 2013: https://twitter.com/AmrullahSaleh1/statuses/406382401036636160
 pledged: http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/11/26/taliban-slams-loya-jirga-bilateral-security-agreement.html
 proposed: http://www.pajhwok.com/en/2013/12/07/opp-parties-lend-weight-early-bsa-signing
 urged: http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/content/warning-negative-regional-impact-iran-urges-afghanistan-not-sign-bsa-washington
 warning: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/09/world/middleeast/afghan-leader-agrees-to-talks-on-closer-iran-ties.html?_r=0
 #Iran: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Iran&src=hash
 http://t.co/5lHzkc4lDi: http://t.co/5lHzkc4lDi
 December 8, 2013: https://twitter.com/FarzadLameh/statuses/409782076238753794
 November 26, 2013: https://twitter.com/AhMukhtar/statuses/405393904935399424
 #Afghanistan: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Afghanistan&src=hash
 December 10, 2013: https://twitter.com/ShujaRabbani/statuses/410403294582824961
 visited: http://www.armytimes.com/article/20131202/NEWS08/312020017/Iraq-FM-talks-Afghans-about-security
 deterioration in security: http://www.chinadailyasia.com/news/2013-12/03/content_15103233.html
 #Iraq: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Iraq&src=hash
 #Afghan: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Afghan&src=hash
 #Pajhwok: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Pajhwok&src=hash
 December 2, 2013: https://twitter.com/DaudJunbish/statuses/407598946878357504
 Chuck Hagel: http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Hagel+arrives+Afghanistan+amid+thorny+standoff+over+Afghan/9260087/story.html
 Susan Rise: http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2013/11/26/national-security-advisor-susan-rice-karzai-u-s-may-leave-no-troops-in-afghanistan/
 warned: http://www.firstpost.com/fwire/us-warns-afghanistan-of-civil-war-1273215.html
 https://t.co/DZwOhrmWbl: https://t.co/DZwOhrmWbl
 December 10, 2013: https://twitter.com/ArifCRafiq/statuses/410502470217904128
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