The Syrian blogosphere, particularly the contingent that blogs in English, has been somewhat quiet about the U.S. elections, at least in comparison to its neighbors. It's no secret that many bloggers in the Arab world are frustrated with some of Obama's policies, even if they are glad that some change has come. In this post, we will take a look at three different Syrian perspectives on the recent elections in the U.S.
Yaman, who studies in the United States, shares a story of celebrating Obama's victory in Berkeley, California:
As soon as Obama finished giving his acceptance speech, crowds of students began to gather in the streets of Berkeley. By the time I melded myself into the march somewhere on Durant Avenue, hundreds of students had already amassed. We ran down Durant feeling that a huge weight was off our shoulders, that there were only better days ahead. As we rejoiced, preparing to say goodbye forever to those familiar faces of the Bush regime, it dawned on me that we had no idea where we were going. Where was this march headed?
No one really knew, but we kept going, cheering the whole way. Eventually someone yelled, “to the library,” so there we went, our high spirits annoying those who were trying to study for midterms. Whenever the banality of our pit stop struck us, we simply started marching again. Soon we headed down to Shattuck where we paused somewhere around the BART station. We stood there again roaring in ecstasy about the win. When we got bored again, we kept moving until we found another similarly neutral, meaningless location to rest at until we yet again became restless. There was no organization to the march, no one there to tell us what the win would mean for us, no stops at locations with any political significance. It was more of a happiness movement, than a political one. At least we’d been delivered from the Bush years.
Yaman concludes that, while he's aware that Obama's election stands for change, he is also wary of the vigilance we must keep:
I went through high school and most of college under the Bush administration. Every social issue I ever learned about, fixing it was always a matter for “the long haul.” In these times of never-ending wars, arrogant, disrespectful, and unresponsive government, we always had to fight for everything in “the long term.” Well, Obama now has a long term ahead of him in which he can try to deliver on all these demands for change. We can’t take it for granted, though, that a win for Obama is a win for progressive policies, even if–maybe–it will inaugurate a progressive mood. One hopes that the Democratic party and the Obama administration have a little more direction than our happy crowd did, or we will have to remind them that we did not support them for the sake of supporting Democrats, but because we wanted them to do what we want them to do. We can hope, now, that these won’t be four more years of the same violent Bush rhetoric and policies; but surely, they will be four years of holding Obama and the Democratic party accountable for what they’ve promised and what we’ve asked for, rather than letting the mesmerizing aura stilt our principles and expectations.
Born in Damas reminds us not to forget about the United States' recent transgressions in Syria:
Amidst the celebration of Obama's election as President of the United States the world seems to have forgotten the recent helicopter incursion by US forces into Syria to allegedly terminate some individual that apparently constituted a danger to US national security.
Last month a raid was carried out a few kilometres inside the Syrian border with Iraq.
I have not seen much reaction in the US media about it nor much outcry in international places maybe because the Americans are a bit embarrassed and do not know what to think about this ‘incident' and maybe because the Europeans are totally flabbergasted as it does not fit in with the direction the current Syrian -EU-US relations was going into?
Maysaloon spells it out for those who might praise America:
America's mask is back on and Americanists the world over are breathing a sigh of relief. Those of them in the Arab world have had a particularly difficult time over the last eight years. Whilst they have had plenty of years experience becoming apologists for the murder of Palestinians (nobody cares about these anymore), the genocide in Iraq was a much harder pill to swallow and many felt compelled to publicly criticise the United States - an unthinkable act during the Clinton years. But what has changed in reality with the election of Obama? Nothing, and these Americanists will concede this. Article after article, many say how wonderful he will be and how historic his election is. They then proceed to add the caveat that, in reality, little will change concerning America's position with regards to Israel, the Arabs and Iraq. But that isn't the point. They then proceed to tell you that this is irrelevant, because his election means “change” has come, Americana is back and we can all feel good about it again. So all that has happened is that America has made people ‘feel good' again, so that they stop caring about what it really does, since nothing will change in the Middle East on their own admittance. After eight years of reality, responsibility, guilt and shame, the United States' apologists can now sit back and take a drag of premium Americana hashish. Relax, everything is going to be ok.

As U.S. President-elect Barack Obama prepares for his four years in the White House, many are discussing how his term will impact health issues, globally and in the U.S., and if he will deliver on his campaign promises.
As part of their campaign, Obama and Vice President-elect Joe Biden said that more must be done to fight the global HIV/AIDS pandemic, as well as malaria and tuberculosis (TB). They pledged to provide at least $50 billion by 2013 for the global fight against HIV/AIDS, hoping to at least double the number of HIV-positive people on treatment, and supported increasing U.S. contributions to the Global Fund for AIDS, malaria, and TB. The ONE Blog lists other health- and poverty-related campaign promises.
Bloggers around the world are excited about what Obama's win could mean for health issues. Ray Hartley, blogging on The Times, South Africa, posts an excerpt of Obama's speech on World AIDS Day, 2006, after a visit to South Africa:
“We know how to save people’s lives. We know the medicine is out there and we know that wealthy countries can afford to do more. That’s why it was so frustrating for me to go to South Africa, and see the pain, and see the suffering …We should never forget that God granted us the power to reason so that we would do His work here on Earth - so that we would use science to cure disease, and heal the sick, and save lives. And one of the miracles to come out of the AIDS pandemic is that scientists have discovered medicine that can give people with HIV a new chance at life.”
yannick Santana, commenting on this excerpt says:
“If people have been wondering about ways in which President Obama change could positively impact the problem-solving process in Africa, this is an illustration.”
addis2000, blogging on Addismenged, provides five reasons why Obama's win is good for Ethiopians, including potentially helping Ethiopian-Americans access affordable healthcare. Within Ethiopia addis2000 adds:
“HIV/Aids and food insecurity form convergent miseries. To combat poverty, Ethiopian economists urge for immediate steps to curb the country’s exponential population growth. And yet, despite the Bush administration’s outstanding work to treat HIV/Aids victims in Africa through the PEPFAR programme, it worsened things by ordering USAID missions in six African countries to ensure that no U.S.-financed condoms, birth control pills, I.U.D.’s or other contraceptives are furnished to Marie Stopes International, which operates clinics in Ethiopia. Senator Obama supports family planning.”
Others also remain hopeful. A post on Med India says that Bill Gates, co-founder of Microsoft Corp., is optimistic about Obama's efforts to tackle global health issues, including ones in India. Understand Argentina also believes we have much to celebrate, and hopes this will be a new era for all Americans: North, Central and South. One of the reasons to celebrate, she adds, is because Obama will bring:
“More assistance in vocational training, micro-finance and community development; continue fighting AIDS, malaria, tuberculosis; reinforce global education.”
In the U.S., Obama's healthcare plan includes making healthcare affordable and accessible to all, lowering healthcare costs, and promoting public health. He also pledged to develop and begin implementing a comprehensive national HIV/AIDS strategy during his first year of presidency.
RH Reality Check says that Obama's victory can be seen as a mandate for science and rationality, especially in healthcare policy. A post on Housing Works is also excited about these science-based policies, and hopes they will target people most in need.
“AIDS advocates were overwhelmingly thrilled by President-elect Barack Obama’s victory Tuesday, expressing hope that Obama’s election will bring meaningful changes to health care reform, science-based prevention, and a National AIDS strategy — all of which he promised during the campaign. And there is a real hope that the first black president — who has spoken out against health disparities in minority populations and homophobia in the black community — will frankly address the epidemic in the United States which overwhelmingly affects African-Americans, Latinos and gay men.”
Stiletto, blogging on Pourquoi Pas?, points out that though Obama has inherited huge problems from President George W. Bush, she hopes he will still deliver on his promises.
“For the American people, I hope he manages to find the 33 billion dollars to make America’s health system a thing of everyday like here in Europe, instead of being a joke like a third world country and having 45 million people with no health care cover. If that idiot Bush managed to find nearly 1000 billion dollars to go murder hundreds of thousands of Iraqis, surely, 33 billion dollars to keep the health of the citizens of USA is a lot more important and a lot cheaper. But this is your problem, Americans, and I wish you all the best. “
However, My African Diaspora cautions that we need to give Obama time to come through on all his promises:
“Temper expectations. Change won’t occur overnight. We’ve got so many pressing priorities: the economy, healthcare, the war, foreign policy and a slew of others. He won’t be able to wave a magic wand and make it all better. To expect him to would only demonstrate our own ignorance of the political process. Instead, reserve judgment and criticism and engage in the governance of your country. It is our right and our responsibility.”
Photo of Obama Posters by tonx on Flickr.
Several Iranian bloggers shared their feelings and opinions about Barack Obama's victory in the US presidential election and compared democracy in America to Iran's current political situation.
Nikahang Kosar, a leading cartoonist and blogger, published a cartoon where he shows the difference between former reformist president Mohammad Khatami's mentality with Obama's.

In a post, Iranian blogger Deserter refers to Martin Luther King Jr's civil rights movement and his assassination in 1968, and writes that King's wife made a statement during the civil rights leader's funeral asking how long it would take to achieve freedom.
The answer to King's wife was 40 years, Deserter says.
The USA has proved that it learns from it's mistakes… 40 years ago in Iran, a Marxist had no right to express his/her ideas, still it is the same story. 40 years ago the country was functioning on oil money, still it is the main vital source for Iran. 40 years ago in universities a female student wearing a veil was under pressure. Today, a female student who wants her freedom and doesn't wear a veil is under pressure… Americans waited for 40 years. how long should we wait?
Iwishpolitics writes that contrary to Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's prediction, Obama did win the election.
Contrary to the Iranian president, Obama asked all Americans to reconstruct the USA. Contrary to Ahmadinejad, Obama did not call intellectuals ‘goats' and his opponents ‘manipulated agents in the hands of foreigners'.
View from Iran, an American blogger who lived for several years in Iran, and is now is based in Europe, has free advice for Obama on how to deal with Iran:
1. Bluster is bad: Do not make threats that will not or cannot be carried out… 2. Don’t say that you respect the history of the great people of Iran… and then revoke visas while people are in flight to the US, detain them without reason, or insult their intelligence…
Shahriar Zanganeh writes in Iranian.com comparing the behavior of both countries towards people with multi-ethnic backgrounds.
The great American nation in its infinite evolutionary wisdom elected a half-American half-Kenyan Barack Hussein Obama as its 44th president. As far as the Islamic Republic is concerned, the children born to Iranian mothers and Afghan fathers in Iran are not considered Iranian, denying them even the pittance of the rights granted to other Iranians. Please note the 44th U.S. President’s father was Kenyan.
This post was originally published on Global Voices US election website, Voices without Votes.

“The blogosphere has long played a key role in transforming Egypt's political landscape, with new media formats being exploited by those seeking to challenge the regime of President Hosni Mubarak.”
British Journalist Jack Shenker explores, in his recent article to “Arab Press Network”, the new emerging phenomena from Egypt for cyber activism and political impact using new media forms.
He starts by tracing the historical usage of Muslim Brotherhood for modern technology and internet tools:
The first wave of Muslim Brotherhood bloggers emerged in 2006, taking their cue from the secular civil society activists who, locked out of mainstream political discourse, had turned to the web - using blogs, Facebook and tools like Twitter not just to publish their grievances with government but also to carve out a new political space where like-minded people could debate, plan and co-ordinate activities. Early Ikhwan figures in cyberspace used the medium to publicise the repressive tactics used by police against their organisation. As a means of highlighting the human rights abuses suffered by group members at the hands of the state, the bloggers initially served a useful purpose for the Brotherhood leadership.
Yet, will the Muslim Brotherhood accept the new blood voices from inside critiquing the brotherhood themselves:
For an organisation so ruthlessly committed to internal discipline - founder Hassan El-Banna famously declared “We cooperate in what we have agreed on and excuse each other for what we have disagreed on” - the airing of dirty laundry in public is a jarring development. Interestingly, despite the bloggers generally identifying strongly with the liberal wing of the organisation's internal ideological divisions, reformist leaders within the party have been slow to offer them much support, fearing too much internal dialogue will threaten the cohesion of the movement. Some bloggers have faced naked hostility from the party elite (such as Abdel-Moneim Mahmoud, who claims he was ordered to leave the Ikhwan after questioning the group's slogan ‘Islam is the Solution' on his blog, ‘ana ikhwan'); others have simply been ignored. Mahmoud Ezzat, the conservative secretary-general of the Brotherhood, said younger members shouldn't be “scared to voice their beliefs” but warned, “There should be moral regulations to blogging, otherwise, we won't be able to benefit from this new technology.”
Yet as Al-Anani points out, this policy of ‘constructive disregard' for the bloggers on the part of the party's leaders has failed. The Brotherhood is attempting to sell itself to the Egyptian people partly as a tolerant antidote to the authoritarianism of Mubarak's regime; it cannot now crack down on its own members without appearing unwilling or incapable of accommodating conflicting opinions. The only alternative is to listen to the bloggers and take their opinions seriously, and that means being ready to make political concessions to the web warriors and allow them to help shape the party's programme. And that could have a significant impact on the trajectory of Egyptian politics, as the Muslim Brotherhood seeks to position itself as the main alternative to Mubarak in a time of unprecedented political volatility.
M.S. Hijiouji is a Moroccan blogger who is interested in new technology. In his last blog post, he discusses the last offers to sell Yahoo via Microsoft, Google or AOL.
He further adds:
AOL might interfere, according to rumor, to sign a partnership agreement, up to a merge, but always in all cases, it appears that Google is the biggest beneficiary.
A blogger’s post Why am I supporting Obama even though it might be against national interests has been popular in portal sites. I introduce why he is supporting Obama and why he thinks that his victory will be against national interests in Korea, but why he observes optimistically.
국익에 반하여 버락 오바마를 지지하는 이유
1. 왜 버락 오바마의 미국 대통령 당선은 대한민국의 국익에 반하는가?대한민국의 국익을 현 정권이 규정할만한 다음 세 가지, 즉
1) 국내정치 : 대북 정치-경제우위, 미국의 군사력에 기반을 둔, 압도적, 주도적 통일.
2) 국제정치 : 미국을 업고 동북아 4강 구도에서 적극적인 역량 발휘
3) 국제경제 : 한국의 무역흑자를 가능케 할 대규모 대미 무역흑자
로 단순화 한다면, 버락 오바마의 당선은 국익에 명백히 반한다. 아마 2~3년 뒤엔, 한국에서 오바마 지지한다고 했다간 좋은 소리 못 듣고 다닐 가능성이 크다.
1. Why will the winning of Obama be against our national benefits?
There are three categories that the current government pursues for national interests.
1) Domestic Politics: Based on economic superiority and the US military power, South Korea will lead reunification
2) International Politics: With the support of the US, South Korea will display active capability to 4 powerful countries in Northeast Asia
3) International Economy: South Korea will look for trade surplus toward the US on a large scale of trade
In a simple way, Obama's victory will be against national benefits. 2-3 years later, it is possible that people are not happy about Obama supporters.
1) 국내정치 차원
(1) 오바마가 선거운동에서 밝힌 바, 미국은 북한 핵문제에서 외교에 큰 비중을 둘 것이며, 직접협상을 할 것이다. (반면 매케인은 대북 강경책을 시사했다.) 여기에는 대북 제재 해제는 물론, 대량의 식량-석유 지원이 수반될 수 있다. 남한의 현 반북보수정권은 예상되는 미국의 북한 지원(미국의 북한 퍼주기)에 소극적일 수 있다. 이렇게 되면 남한의 가치는 떨어진다. 남한의 가치는 ‘미국이 거쳐 가는 대북 창구'역할, 그리고 ‘대북 지원의 곳간'역할에 있었기 때문이다.
(2) 북한은 남한을 따돌리고, 미국과 직접 협상을 할 수 있으며(통미봉남), 이 와중에 북한은 예전에 중국과 소련 사이에서 그랬듯, 중국과 미국 사이에서 자기의 몸값을 높일 수 있다. 북한의 가치는 높아질 수 있다. 물론 북한이 핵협상에서 (한국과 일본을 따돌리고) 미국과 원만히 문제를 해결해 나간다는 전제가 충족될 때의 일이다. 더불어 김정일을 비롯한 북한의 핵심권력층에 큰 이상이 생기지 않는다는 전제도 만족해야 한다.
(3) 아프가니스탄과 이라크에서 전쟁을 치르며 많이 지친데다, 금융위기로 당분간 군대에 충분한 예산 배정을 하기 어려울 미국 정부는 해외 주둔지의 전비를 주둔지 국가에 많이 떠넘길 수 있다. 그렇지 않아도, 미국에서 헤어 나올 수 없는 세력이 집권한 한국은 향후 4년간, 주한미군 주둔비용, 혹은 주한미군 관련하여 ‘아주' ‘더' 많은 양보를 하게 될 것이고, 언론을 통해 이 소식을 접할 대다수 한국인들은 미국에 반감을 갖게 될 것이다. (매케인이 당선된다 하더라도, 그 요구 수준은 조금 낮아지거나, 다른 형태로 나타나게 될 것이다.)
(4) (1), (2), (3)을 종합할 때, 경제적 우위야 남한이 계속 유지하겠지만, 흡수통일에 버금갈만한 남한의 압도적, 주도적 통일은 불가능하게 될 것이다. 북-미 직접대화로 북한 문제에 대한 발언권이 크게 떨어질 것이다. 현 정부가 기치로 내걸은 ‘대미관계 회복'도 결국 한국의 대미감정 악화로 귀결될 가능성이 있다.
2) 국제정치 차원
(1) 1)의 경우에서 제시했듯, 북-미 관계는 개선될 가능성이 크다. 반면 한-미 관계는 대북 지원의 경우(우파의 반발)나, 주한미군 비용 관련(좌파의 반발)하여, 이래저래 악화될 가능성이 크다.
(2) 이 경우 한국은 주변 4대 강국에 어떻게 자신의 입지를 어필할 수 있을지를 근본적으로 다시 생각해 봐야하는 상황에 처하게 된다. 북한문제는 이미 북-미 대화로 자신의 손을 떠났고(이에 따라 한국의 가치는 급락하고), 경제문제는 금융위기로 섣불리 나서기도(해외투자), 많이 사주기도(소비시장) 어려운 상황에서, 어떻게 중국, 러시아, 일본, 그리고 미국에게 ‘아직 한국의 중요성이 떨어지지 않았음'을 설득시킬 수 있을 것인가? 하영선 서울대 외교학과 교수가 최근 조선일보 칼럼에서 ‘정신 바짝 차리고 어떻게 하면 새로 판을 짤 수 있을지 고민할 것'을 촉구하고 있음에 유의하자.
3) 국제경제 차원
(1) 오바마가 되든, 매케인이 되든, 서브프라임 모기지 사태로 말미암아, 미국 국민들의 구매력이 최악으로 떨어졌다. 따라서 미국인들의 소비 양상은 식품류 같은 가장 기초적인 분야의 비중이 커질 것이다. 반면, 한국이 미국에 수출하는 자동차, 휴대폰, 컴퓨터(반도체)등의 고부가가치, 고도기술집약 제품의 소비는 급감할 것이다. 그리고 이 위기를 극복하더라도, 미국인들은 2008년의 기억을 잊지 않고, ‘분수에 맞는 소비'로 돌아갈 것이라 보는데, 이렇게 되면 고가의 고부가가치 상품을 쉽게 구입하지도, 여러 차례 구입하지도 않을 것이다. 즉, 미국은 인구 및 소비 수준상 세계 최대 소비시장의 지위를 유지할지는 모르겠지만, 그 규모는 작아질 것이다. (중국은 소비수준이 아직 부족하고, 유럽은 분수에 맞는 소비를 하는 편이기 때문에 규모가 적정하다.) 즉, 예전만큼 미국시장에서 재미를 보긴 이제 틀렸다. 새로운 신흥시장을 시장을 찾아야 한다. …특히 오바마는 그의 발언으로 보아 우리가 그토록 팔고 싶어 하는 자동차의 수입을 어떻게든 막으려 들 것이며, 시간을 벌어 자국의 대항력을 키우고, 결국엔 한국에 한국 자동차보다 ‘훨씬 저렴하고, 훨씬 연비가 높으며, 훨씬 친환경적인 자동차'를 수출하려 들 것이다. (매케인은 ‘유정을 더 뚫어서 기름을 계속 쓰자'고 한 만큼 고연비 자동차에 대한 ‘개념'은 없다고 봤다.) …
His second post has also brought many attentions to other netizens.
2. ‘국익'에 반함에도 불구하고 왜 버락 오바마를 지지하는가?
1) 개인 차원
(1) 흑(父)과 백(母), 동양(인도네시아)과 서양(미국)과 아프리카(케냐)가 어우러져 생긴 ‘진정한 미국인', ‘미국의 진정한 이상의 결정체(Real American)'이기 때문이다. 신분에 차별이 없으며 만민이 자유로운 나라, 기회의 평등이 보장된 나라, 그렇기 때문에 압제와 가난에 신음하던 사람들이 밝은 내일을 찾아오는 나라. 피부색과 종교와 신념과 문화에 관계없이 공동의 목표를 위해 매진하는 나라. 이게 미국의 진정한 이상이라고 본다. (오바마가 항상 말하듯, 전 세계에서 이런 사람이 대통령이 될 수 있는 나라는 사실상 미국밖에 없다.)
(2) 학창시절에 인종정체성 문제로 방황하며 마약도 하는 등, 최악을 경험했다. 그러다가 대학교 들어와 정체성 문제를 극복하는 과정에서 ‘각성'했고, 최고가 됐다. 나는 이렇게 ‘밑바닥'을 경험한 사람을 신뢰하는 편이다. 그들은 ‘옛날'과 ‘초심'을 잃지 않는다. 자기가 왜 마음을 고쳐먹었는지, 자기가 추구한 이상이 무엇이었는지를 잊지 않는다….
(3) 오바마는 초심을 잊지 않았다. 하버드 법학대학원에서 흑인으로 법학 학술지 편집장을 지냈을 정도면, 월스트리트든 뉴욕이든 어디든, 어떤 회사에서든 수억원에 달하는 연봉을 받으며 편히 살 수 있었을 터다. 하지만 지역공동체 조직가로 일했던 시카고로 돌아왔고, 사회운동을 계속했다…
2) 나라(한국) 차원
(1) 한국 사회문화
-. 흑인이 미국 대통령으로 당선된다는 것은 실질적 인종차별주의 국가인 한국에서 ‘깜둥이'비하 시각이 사라질 계기가 된다. 차별정도가 가장 심했을 흑인의 위상이 급변하므로, 비(非)백인 외국인 일반에 대해 갖고 있던 다수 한국인들의 ‘저열한'인식도 상당수준 개선될 것으로 보인다….
(2) 한국 정치
…오바마의 당선은 ‘시대착오', ‘시대순응', ‘시대선도'의 감각을 한국 국민에게, 그리고 정계에 심어줄 것으로 본다. 그래서 오바마의 당선을 국내정치적 차원에서 바란다. 매케인이 당선된다면, 기존, 아니 옛날 인물-통칭 구악(舊惡)들이 미국 매파들과의 인맥을 과시하며 거들먹거리는 참상을 봐야할 것이다. 하지만 오바마가 당선되면, 합리적인 젊은 우파들이 전면에 나서서 미국과의 관계를 재정립 할 가능성이 있다. 미국일변도의 의존패턴을 어떻게 극복할지가 주목된다. 적어도 이들은 ‘소미국주의'를 내세우지는 않으리라 기대한다. 그래서 매케인이 아니라 오바마의 당선을 바라마지 않는다.
(3) 한국 경제
…반면 오바마는 자유무역을 부정하진 않아도, 모든 것을 시장 자율에 맡기지는 않을 것이다. 일자리를 만들려면 자국산업보호가 절실하기 때문이다…. 특히 고용 효과가 큰 자동차 산업을 비롯한 제조업을 보호하기 위해서 오바마는 한국과 일본에 상당한 압력을 가할 것이다. …이 와중에 한국에서 자동차를 비롯한 내구재 제조업에 집중되어있던 산업구조가 급속히 변할 것이다. 그렇지 않아도 소비가 줄은 마당에 수출이 안 된데다, 압력이 가해지면서 비용까지 오른다. 계속 생산하겠다면 미국에다 공장을 짓는 수밖에 없다. 오바마가 그렇게 비난하던 일자리송출(Job Shipping)이 한국에서 벌어지게 된다. 노동의 비율이 큰 산업들이 송출되거나 사라지는 만큼, 한국의 실업률은 많이 높아질 것이다… 그 와중에 신(新)산업구조가 형성될 것이다. 문화, 소프트웨어, 환경, 통신, 지식산업 쪽이 오랜 시간에 걸쳐 성장할 것이다. 특히 오바마가 무역장벽으로 내세울 ‘환경'쪽의 급격한 발전이 예상된다. 간단히 말해서, 그렇지 않아도 오래 못 갔을 한국의 20세기형 산업구조, 절박하고 고통스럽게 21세기형으로 몰아가 줄 것 같아서 오바마를 지지한다.
3) 한반도 - 동북아시아 차원
…민주당-오바마라는 호기를 절대 놓치려 들지 않을 북한은 북-미관계에서 ‘엄청난 선물공세'를 벌일 가능성이 있다. 부시 집권 8년 동안 잃어버렸던 것들을 찾으려 굉장히 적극적으로 나올 것이다. 그리고 지금 확실하게 관계를 다져놓게 되면 적어도 오바마의 임기, 혹은 연임이라도 하게 된다면 10년에 가까운 충분한 시간을 벌게 된다….(3) 그리고 오바마의 당선으로 북미관계가 개선된다면 북한이 조금 잘 살게 될 텐데 이것은 전혀 한국에 위협이 못되며, 장기적으론 이득이 된다. 북한이 어느 정도 살아야 통일을 한다고 가정 시 충격이 적은 것은 누구나 다 안다.
4) 세계 차원
(1) 비운의 진짜 대통령, 앨 고어(Al Gore)의 진가가 오바마 행정부에서 발휘될 가능성이 높다. 급격한 환경 친화적 정책이 예상된다. 특히 미국은 자국의 경제적 문제해결의 수단으로도 상당히 강력한 환경상의 규제 압박을 가해올 것이다.
(2) 금융위기와 아프가니스탄-이라크 전쟁을 통해 국력이 ‘너덜너덜'해진 미국은 다른 나라와의 ‘제대로 된' 공조가 절실해졌다. 미국 최고주의를 고수하려는 매케인은 이것이 불가능하다. 그러나 ‘전 세계에 친척이 퍼져있고(아프리카(친가)-아시아(여동생)-미국(외가)-유럽(독일에서 유학한 이복누나 아우마)', 유년기를 ‘세계 최대의 이슬람 국가인' 인도네시아에서 보냈고, 미국사회에서 인종정체성으로 고민한 오바마는 ‘미국최고주의'를 지양할, 아니 표면적으로는 많이 숨길 가능성이 있다. ..
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